Saturday, October 15, 2005

The rise of the eco-city

The rise of the eco-city - Yahoo! News

Financial Times, By Fiona Harvey
Fri Oct 14,12:05 PM ET

In the midst of the Arizona desert in the US stands a half-built town that has attracted architects from around the world for the past 35 years. Arcosanti is an experiment in ecological city design. There are no cars since the space is planned for pedestrians, and there are large, compact living structures built next to huge solar-heated greenhouses where the residents' food is grown. Electricity comes from wind and solar plants, and the water from the nearby river is carefully husbanded. Only 60 to 100 people live there now, well below the 5,000 that Paolo Soleri, the architect who founded Arcosanti, envisions. But since the project launched in 1970, 6,000 architectural students have come to help with the building and learn about its design, and the site attracts 50,000 visitors every year.

The aim of the town is to emphasise the benefits of city life and provide a contrast to endless sprawling suburbs built on the environmentally unfriendly model of "the American dream of single families with a car or two cars", explains Mary Hoadley, Arcosanti's site coordinator, who, with her husband and now her daughter, has lived there from the outset.

Gathering a greater density of people to live and work in one place not only benefits the environment, by requiring less expenditure of energy for things like heating and travel, but also allows people to feel part of a community. "The word civilisation comes from the same root as city," Hoadley explains. And "living here is fantastic. We started with the energy of the 1960s but this is something that has stayed the course."

Although the town is still less than half-built ("We thought we'd have built it in five years and then travel the world building more villages," Hoadley explains, but capital proved hard to come by), Soleri's ideas have been an inspiration to subsequent generations of architects. A retrospective of his work opened in Rome last month, and he will visit China shortly in order to explain his philosophy of "arcology" - a mixture of architecture and ecology - to government planners.

China may be the next centre for ecological city design since it needs to build the equivalent of several cities a year in the next decade to house its growing population while still protecting its natural resources from the effects of urbanisation and industrialisation. The government has realised that residents' desire for a higher quality of life, with cars, washing machines and other modern conveniences must be balanced against the need to protect them from water shortages, smog and pollution and to prevent the desertification of former agricultural land.

In fact, the country is building the world's first fully fledged eco-city in Dongtan, near Shanghai, on an island three quarters of the size of Manhattan that sits in the mouth of the Yangtse river, providing a home to thousands of rare birds, plants and other species in its wetlands. The contract for the planning of the city was awarded to Arup, the engineering consultancy, in August, and the company is tasked with making the city as close to carbon neutral as possible, replacing almost all of the environmental resources it uses. Renewable energy will be a key part of the plan, with energy coming from waste and combined heat and power plants. At present, most of the island is agricultural land.

By 2010, the first phase should be complete, and an exhibition will be held to showcase the development. Peter Head, a director of Arup involved in the project, thinks Dongtan sends a message that China's government "is willing to find ways of overcoming the challenges of creating sustainable cities in the face of significant climate change, environmental pollution, water shortages and the need for the use of cleaner energy".

Projects such as Dongtan aim to build on Arcosanti and show that whole cities can be environmentally benign, instead of dirty and damaging. But managing the lives of several million people in a way that respects the environment is a big leap from creating a small - unfinished - eco-community in the middle of the countryside or the desert. "When the economic reality sets in, and it looks as if these cities will cost more to build in the short term, short termism might take over and the environmental aspects will be forgotten," warns Andy von Bradsky, director of PRP Architects.

Still, even if China doesn't realise its vision of eco-metropolises, smaller towns and cities across the world are using Arcosanti as an example and taking steps to green themselves.

In the UK, Newcastle hopes to become "carbon neutral" by encouraging energy efficiency, generating electricity from renewable sources and planting trees. In the US, EcoCity Cleveland is helping its local government use eco-friendly principles. And in Germany, the eco-buildings of Freiburg in the Black Forest have made it a tourist attraction. "I don't think you'd be able to sell a house in Freiburg if it wasn't environmentally friendly," says Bill Dunster, principal at Zedfactory, the UK architects.

Bo01 (pronounced Bo-Nol-Net), in Malmö, Sweden for example, is an eco-friendly district with schools, shops, restaurants, a park, a beachfront boardwalk and now more than 1,000 residents. Launched as a government project to revive the formerly industrial port along the Western Harbour it was named after 2001, the year it opened, and the Swedish word for dwell.

Housing ranges from single-family homes to a residential high-rise (architect Santiago Calatrava recently added a 54-storey tower called the Turning Torso) and all construction follows strict environmental guidelines. The energy comes from sun, wind and water, and residents' electricity use is restricted to about half of what's usual in Sweden; a large part of the town's heat is extracted from groundwater.

"The idea initially was to get to grips with this old industrial land on the fringe of the city," says Trevor Graham, project manager at Malmö's environment department. "The concept was to create the city of tomorrow - a sustainable city marrying together quality of life, good architecture, good urban planning and environmental issues."

In all these cases, architects and planners are giving up on the idea of an entire utopian eco-city and instead taking over an existing street by street or building up one neighbourhood at a time.

Tuesday, September 27, 2005

Designing Energy Descent Pathways: One community's attempt at designing a prosperous way down from the peak.

Designing Energy Descent Pathways: One community's attempt at designing a prosperous way down from the peak. | EnergyBulletin.net | Energy and Peak Oil News

Reaching the Peak

There is an emerging consensus now that we are either very close to or have passed the peak in world oil production. As someone who has been involved in environmental issues for 16 years, and permaculture for 13 years, I have to ask myself how I didn’t see this one coming. Its implications are profound. No longer is it in any way an appropriate response to say ‘we need to recycle’, when the process of recycling require transporting recyclable waste long distances. We have to look much deeper at the whole waste question. An excellent recent report by Tim Lang and Jules Pretty “Farm Costs and Food Miles: An Assessment of the Full Cost of the UK Weekly Food Basket”, argued that food could only be called sustainable when it is grown and consumed within a 20 mile radius. We have to build a local food economy from an almost totally non-existent base. There has been no time in history when anything less than 70% of the population were involved in some way in the production of food. Nowadays it is more like 6% (in Ireland), and of those, a high proportion would have lost much of that knowledge. ‘Green’ building that relies on imported ‘ecological’ materials from Germany or Denmark will no longer be viable, leading to our needing to rethink how we will actually construct energy efficient shelter in a lower energy near future. We are looking at the need for a process of localisation, of looking at what is essential to our lives (food, warmth, shelter, water) and rebuilding the local economy in such a way that it is actually able to supply these. The process of dismantling our diverse and complex local economics over the last 50-60 years was a disastrous one – it was easy to do but incredibly hard to rebuild.

The recent award winning film ‘The End of Suburbia’ is a very sobering look at the whole peak oil issue. It makes it very clear that the problem is of a scale that is almost unimaginable, and that the solutions are really not in place at all, or indeed anywhere near being so. We are so dependent on oil for every aspect of our lives, that its gradual (or rapid, depending on who you listen to…) but steady disappearance from our lives will force us to redesign our communities and our own lives. We need to relearn the skills that sustained our ancestors; crafts, local medicines, the great art of growing food. This is a big challenge. This is THE big challenge.


Becoming Aware

My introduction to all this came through meeting Dr Colin Campbell. He lives in Ballydehob in West Cork, and sets up and runs the Association for the Study of Peak Oil. He worked in the oil industry for over 30 years, and since his retirement has devoted himself to researching the real picture in terms of oil availability, how much is left, where it is and so on. It is Colin who has really brought the awareness of Peak Oil to the world’s attention, untiringly travelling the world, lecturing governments, investment bankers, energy experts, telling them all the same thing, we are about to peak, and you need to re-evaluate what you are doing, because it is going to change everything.

Last September Colin came into Kinsale FEC to talk to my second year permaculture students, who had seen The End of Suburbia the previous day. Colin gave them an introduction to petroleum geology, how and where oil forms, and then went on to look how much is left and where it is. His presentation was so thorough and well researched that his findings were compelling. It was a real eye opener, for me and for the students. I met a friend the following week who said “what did you do to your students last week, they all looked ill for the rest of the week!”.


First Steps

This led on to our planning of the Kinsale Energy Descent Action Plan project. The term energy descent was originally used by ecologist Howard T Odum in his book ‘A Prosperous Way Down ’, and was picked up and used by David Holmgren in his seminal ‘Permaculture, pathways and principles beyond sustainability’. It refers to the time beyond the peak, the downward trend in energy availability. Holmgren makes the point that we need to plan for this descent, rather than simply allowing it to unfold in a series of random and chaotic events. This point is also made by Richard Heinberg in his book ‘Powerdown - options and actions for a post-carbon future’, where he calls for a planned descent, an international response to Peak Oil on the same scale as a wartime mobilisation, to begin building a low energy future.

Another inspiration for me around that time was a talk I went to by a woman from a community organisation in the north of Ireland who was from a very dynamic community development group for a small town in decline. Farming was dying they felt, and they wanted a new direction for the town with a sustainability focus. What they did was bring in a sustainability ‘expert’ who told them that they needed to develop ‘eco-tourism’, and that that would be a sustainable replacement for farming. I was horrified by this; it seemed to me to be taking all the community’s eggs out of one basket and just putting them all into another. Also, all the ideas had come from the ‘expert’ rather than the community itself. I thought that actually a lot more would have been achieved by running a permaculture design course for the people in the village and letting the ideas come from them.

As the students and myself started looking around at the books available on the subject was that what was lacking was examples of towns who had actually started to look at this issue. Had anyone actually started to design pathways down from the peak for a settlement anywhere in the world? Cuba is an often cited example, but we have to remember that Cuba was forced to localise by circumstance (the Russian oil that had underpinned the country until that point being no longer available), and a friend who visited there recently expressed a feeling that there was no great enthusiasm for it among many people. What we wanted was to try and create an example (as we were unable to find one in practice) of a town looking at what Peak Oil will actually mean to them, and to vision how they want a low-energy future to be. As there was no pathway for this in place, we had to make one up.


Starting from Scratch

The first thing we did was to visit a number of good permaculture/organic projects in the West Cork area for ideas and inspiration, but also to talk to their proprietors about what they saw as being practical responses to energy descent that they felt that they felt were tried and tested. That proved to be very interesting, and gave us some useful insights. We heard about the practical realities of making a living growing organic vegetables for local markets and how a changing economy would make that more viable. We heard about the realities of living off the grid, and the financial implications of doing so. We saw the practicalities of the people trying to put the first building blocks in place, and their visions for how things might change. We began to envisage a 3-4 year process of community consultation, education and awareness-raising, combined with practical implementation of projects on the ground and the formulation of a timetables plan for making this transition. This plan became christened the Kinsale Energy Descent Action Plan. The idea was that this year’s second year students produce the first draft, which is then put out to the community for consultation, and then the following year’s students revise the document and update it. We felt that this would take about 3 years to produce something nearing a definitive document, although there would always need to be space allowed for the document to adapt to developments, to be ‘tweaked’.

We had brainstorms on each of the different areas we identified for the Action Plan. These were Food, Youth and Community, Education, Housing, Economy and Livelihoods, Health, Tourism, Transport, Waste, Energy and Marine Resources. Future years may add new categories to this, but it seemed like a good starting list. We made Mind Maps of the issues raised and possible solutions to them. We also invited speakers into the class who had a lot of knowledge on some of these topics.


Kinsale 2021

On Saturday February 12th 2005 we held an event in Kinsale called “Kinsale in 2021 - Towards a Prosperous, Sustainable Future Together”, which took place at Kinsale Town Hall. The event was presented as a ‘community think-tank’ in order to hear the community’s ideas about how energy descent would affect the community and what might be done about it. Before the event we sent personal invitations to the people in Kinsale that we had identified as being the movers and shakers in the town, drawn from the sectors identified above. We also left the event open to the public and put posters up around the town. From the 60 people invited, about 35 turned up on the day. The event itself was opened by the Mayor of Kinsale, Mr Charles Henderson, who spoke of the importance of energy as an issue and how it affects all aspects of our lives and our economy. This was followed by a screening of ‘The End of Suburbia’.

After the film, Thomas Riedmuller, who teaches Community Leadership at Kinsale FEC, introduced the concept of Open Space Technology as a tool for facilitating such events. Open Space is based on the idea that the most productive discussion and idea sharing at any event happens during the tea breaks. Open Space is, in essence, a long tea break, where groups are formed to discuss certain issues, and everyone is free to move between discussion groups, based on the principal ‘where you are is where you are meant to be’, and ‘if you feel you need to be somewhere else, go there’. Those assembled took to the Open Space model with great enthusiasm, and it was extremely productive. People were invited to identify the specific problems and issues that the film raised for them. These were then recorded on large sheets of paper and pinned up on the wall. These were then collated into subject areas, and each of these became the basis for a discussion group. The groups covered the following subjects, Food, Rebuilding Communities, Youth Group/Education, Business & Technology, Tourism and renewable energy.

The groups came up with a wealth of ideas and possibilities that were then fed back to the rest of the participants afterwards. The feedback after the day was very good. We learnt a few lessons from the event that would be helpful for people doing it again. Firstly, a lot of people sent apologies that they would have liked to come, but they were just too busy to give up a whole day. We found it difficult to come up with another model though, because for us it worked very well showing the film and then having the discussions straight away while the feeling of urgency that the film engenders is still fresh in their minds. We were able, thanks to the generosity of many cafes and restaurants in Kinsale who sponsored the event, to put on a sumptuous spread for lunch, which people loved, and which kept the energy of the event up. We wondered if it might have been good to have had a few screenings of the film in the community first, so some people could have seen it in advance one evening, and so wouldn’t have had to give up so much of their time to attend the discussion. We found Open Space an excellent tool for getting people talking in a relaxed and informal way.


The Action Plan

After the event we collated the information that had come in from the day and pairs of students selected different subject areas. I supplied a wealth of reading material for background research, and the students did a lot of internet research of useful ideas and examples from around the world. The final result is the ‘Kinsale Energy Descent Action Plan – Version.1. 2005’ which is our first attempt at a year-by-year plan for the town. Each section of the report begins with a section called ‘The Present’. This attempts to succinctly summarise what is the problem now, in 2005, with regards to the subject in question. This is followed by The Vision, which is written in such a way as to give the reader an idea of how Kinsale could be, if all the recommendations up to that point had been implemented. Part of the challenge with permaculture I feel is how we convey to people the concept that a lower energy future could be preferable, more fulfilling and more abundant and more fulfilling than the present. This section aims to do that, so that people can see in their minds eyes what it would look like.

This is then followed by a list of suggestions and recommendations, in chronological order. These are meant to be ambitious but also achievable, given a good deal of ambition and support. Each section is then rounded off with a collection of resources and internet links. The last section of the Action Plan is a proposal for a Kinsale Sustainability Centre. The idea is that the Centre would be formed with the brief of implementing the Action Plan, and would create 5 posts for students at the end of their second year. They would, in effect, be Community Permaculture Field Workers, out in the town helping the community to put in place the steps of the Action Plan. The Sustainability Centre would act as a focus for the work, running courses and training, but also providing a service, providing initiatives such as an urban market garden.


Next Steps

Next years second years will take the Plan as it is and develop it further. The idea is to set up a series of Think Tank events, like the Kinsale 2021 day, but which are more specific to different areas of the Plan, for example one on health, where they invite all the people in Kinsale working in the field, and another on education, inviting teachers, parents and other people with an involvement. These events would be based around what has already been proposed in the Plan, but getting feedback as to how practical our suggestions are. These events will serve a dual purpose, firstly they’ll act as an essential community sounding board for the Plan’s ideas, and secondly they open doors into the community for the project, all kinds of new practical projects are proposed and contacts made. They also serve to bring this work to the community, rather than expecting it to come to us, or sitting around thinking “why is no-one doing anything”. The great thing with being based in a college doing this work is that you can call on 30 pairs of hands if the feeing is to go and build a garden somewhere. 30 pairs of hands get a lot done!


Final Thoughts

These are early days for this project. We have had no models to work from and have had to invent this process as we go along. It has not been conducted by professionals or by a respected research organisation. It has had no external funding other than the ability to use the college facilities. It is a student project, and we make no claims for it being a complete and thorough document.

What it is though is a very important and far-reaching piece of work. It does something that I think is very bold and powerful. It invites people to look beyond where we are now, and beyond simply allowing events to unravel, and to look towards where they would like to be. It allows people to dream, but not in a woolly ungrounded way. It is rooted in practicality, looking at the building block, we can’t put the second one in place before the first one. In the same way that in permaculture design we aim to make our mistakes on paper first so as to avoid costly mistakes in the landscape, with Energy Descent Action Plans we aim to clarify a step-by-step way down, so as to best focus our energies.

I also think it is important to be realistic. For example, I don’t feel it is realistic to imagine that anything approaching a majority of the population will start growing food without a massive crisis to force them into doing so. However, what we can do is start putting in place the infrastructure that will be needed (seed saving clubs, excluding a certain proportion of land in urban areas from development, preserving skills and knowledge, teaching skills to younger people, creating community compost schemes so we have a resource of compost for growers). When people say “but where will our fruit come from?”, we can say “from the 5 acre orchard over there that we planted 7 years ago”. We can begin to build systems around people. At the same time we need to engage them as much as possible, and see our work as being of service. I feel this is fascinating work and should be begun in every settlement. It is big picture thinking, town-scale permaculture, and needs to be rolled out across the country as a matter of great urgency.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Editorial Notes ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Rob Hopkins is a permaculture teacher and designer, who founded The Hollies Centre for Practical Sustainability in Ireland and developed the Practical Sustainability course at Kinsale Further Education College in Ireland, Europe's first 2 year full-time permaculture course. Since developing the Energy Descent Action Plan approach he has moved to Devon, Uk, where he is now researching a PhD at Plymouth University looking at this approach, refining it further into an approach that can be done anywhere. He will shortly begin this process for the town on Totnes in Devon. He can be contacted at robjhopkins-at-gmail.com. (replace -at- with @ to email)

Copies of the Kinsale 2021 document can be bought from Kinsale FEC, contact kinsalefurthered-at-eircom.net for full details.

This article originally appeared in Permaculture Magazine No. 45, avaiable at www.permaculture.co.uk

Wednesday, September 14, 2005

Urban Age - Creating the Post-Carbon City

Urban Age - Creating the Post-Carbon City

By David Room

Many cities have become obsessed with growth. Some find themselves using new
development to finance the services required for previous development. Such
patterns rely on ready access to cheap energy supplies. These supplies,
however, are now coming into question in a way that is far more serious than
the energy shocks of the 1970s; geology as opposed to geopolitics is driving
a process that heralds permanent energy scarcity. If energy realists are
right, cities will need to refocus drastically away from energy-intensive
development towards using significantly less energy, not only in the built
environment, but in the whole city infrastructure.
A Stressed Biosphere

Energy-subsidized human activity is causing severe biosphere destruction
that threatens life on the planet, human and other. Headlines regularly
highlight rapid species extinction, fisheries depletion and other disturbing
trends. Most troubling, there is now widespread scientific agreement that
human-induced global warming, primarily from the burning of fossil fuels, is
causing increasingly harmful climate disruption. Atmospheric greenhouse
gases are at levels 30 percent higher than Earth has experienced during the
last 400,000 years and they continue to rise inexorably. There are already
clear signs of what may become uncontrollable, irreparable impacts.
Civilization is clearly headed in the wrong direction, and urgent and
dramatic action is needed.

Although human activity has always tended to disrupt ecosystems, climate and
other environmental problems have been exacerbated in the last century.
Soon, for the first time, more people will live in cities than rural areas.
City dwellers lead relatively energy intensive lives, even those that live
in poverty. As a result, energy consumption rises with our explosive urban
population growth. Cheap oil and natural gas have been the primary enablers
of the population increase and the energy-intensive urban lifestyle.
However, after one hundred and fifty years of extraordinary growth, these
fuel sources are reaching their limits.
Oil and Gas Peak

Oil and gas do not sit in underground caverns: they are trapped in gaps in
certain types of rocks. This is a critical point, because it means that oil
and gas fields do not simply drain out as from a tank, but generally follow
a bell-shaped pattern of rising to a peak of production and then falling
away. The U.S. peaked in 1970. Peak oil makes nonsense of recent claims by
British Petroleum that we have enough oil for forty years. Of course, oil
will still be pumping in a hundred and forty years-just not very much.

Alarm bells sounded in the 1970s with various oil and gas shocks, and there
was talk of "running out." But the urgency was subsequently quelled by
significant discoveries in Alaska and the North Sea; extraction was a matter
of engineering-very difficult, but possible. Times are different now. Unlike
the 1970s, we have no new huge provinces have been discovered-in fact, the
North Sea was the last such find. Worse still, following a declining trend,
in 2003 for the first time in many years no major fields were discovered,
and the world oil production rate is now six times the current discovery
rate. To underline how different times are now, Matthew Simmons, chairman of
the world's largest private energy bank and writer of a forthcoming book on
Saudi oil, believes that Saudi Arabia-the world's largest oil exporter-has
reached a production plateau and that decline is imminent. The whole Middle
East may also be on a plateau.

When global oil peak will occur is debatable, and can only be known for
certain in retrospect. Princeton University geologist Kenneth Deffeyes and
others believe that we have passed the peak for conventional oil that is
easily and economically extractable using known techniques. Colin Campbell
of the Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas and, Ali Samsam
Bakhtiari of the National Iranian Oil Company, using separate calculations,
both predict that the peak will occur in 2006 for all oil, including
unconventional. For oil and natural gas together, the Association predicts a
peak of 2011. Many other geologists predict peak oil within a decade. The
glaring exception is the U.S. Geological Survey, which puts peak in mid
century. Surely, high oil pricing, recent write-downs of oil reserves by
Shell and others, record natural gas pricing and resource conflicts
foreshadow serious issues with world energy supply. Prudence requires that
those involved in urban planning begin considering the possibility that oil
is peaking now, since revamping infrastructure takes decades.
Impetus for change

The imminent peaking of global oil and gas production could be the catalyst
for the positive transformation of industrial society, and perhaps avert
catastrophic climate change. It could also be disastrous. Essential systems
such as food, electricity, health care and transportation that form the
foundation of industrial civilization depend on unfettered access to cheap
oil and natural gas. Industrial agriculture relies upon natural gas-derived
fertilizers, oil-based pesticides, oil-intensive transport and plastic
packaging. In fact, fuel accounts for virtually 100% of the work that is
done in industrial society

Once supply begins to drop and is no longer able to meet demand, less work
will be done-which means less economic activity. Alternative energies,
conservation and new energy carriers such as hydrogen will undoubtedly play
a role in future energy systems, yet collectively they will not be enough to
preserve industrial society as we know it. A largely positive outcome could
result from extraordinary planning, action and enduring behavior change.
Cities must prepare for a serious decrease in net energy availability in
their twenty year time horizon or else accept "the cyanide solution of much
more coal and nuclear" says Julian Darley, author of High Noon for Natural
Gas.
The burden of cities

Most future initiatives to stave off an energy meltdown will be led from the
local level-where most energy consumption actually occurs. Every city and
community will have different portfolios of solutions tailored to their
circumstances and culture. Solutions for Toronto's suburbs will be different
from those of Johannesburg. Cities-backed by governments providing
appropriate support through ending fossil fuel subsidies, developing
renewables and considering carbon taxes-must begin experiments to discover
what works and what does not in a given locale.

This knowledge must be gained before the coming energy crisis-experiments
that do not work now may be considered useful information. If experiments
fail in crisis conditions, people are likely to suffer grievously. Cuba is a
salutary example of a country that had to face a sudden and near total
collapse in both its oil supply and most of its external economic system.
Its experiences will likely prove instructive as the rest of the world
grapples with energy scarcity. To save precious time and resources,
communities and cities will need to learn from existing models, share
experiments, outcomes and lessons learned; the term sister city will soon
have a whole new meaning.

Cities need to prepare themselves to do less materially with much less
energy and fewer natural resources, with the ultimate goal of sustainable
living largely within the confines of their bioregion. "We need to reinvent
the city," says Richard Heinberg, author of The Party's Over and Powerdown.
"To not do so will be suicide." One famous example of energy and natural
resource collapse occurred on Easter Island, whose complex society unraveled
into cannibalism.
Key building blocks of the solution

Relocalization is the process by which communities localize their economies
and essential systems, such as food and energy production, water, monetary,
governance and media. To even out local difficulties relocalization will
require some degree of regional integration. Cities need to support and
collaborate with community groups on relocalization experiments, since
cities are the information hubs and the final destination of most production
and resources. The benefit will be adaptable communities and cities that
collectively operate within the means of their bioregion, using locally
produced food and fuel. As James Howard Kunstler, the author of The
Geography of Nowhere, puts it, "the 3,000 mile Caesar salad will be much
less palatable when oil is $100 a barrel." Many regions will also have to
experiment with local currencies, as there may be great difficulties with
present financial systems.

"The city is radically out of sync with healthy life systems on earth, and
is functioning in nearly complete disregard of its long-term sustenance,"
says Richard Register of Eco City Builders. "We need to move beyond New
Urbanism to rebuild cities for people instead of cars and regain a human
balance with nature." To roll back sprawl, Register suggests ecological city
design as the framework for rebuilding cities around high density, mixed use
centers with pedestrian plazas, solar greenhouses, rooftop gardens,
ecologically informed architecture and natural features like creeks. In
Register's "eco-city" concept, centers are interspersed with natural open
space, parks, and farming, linking to other city centers and regional
centers via appropriate transit.

Sound municipal governance for the transition into the post-carbon age
requires:

* Nimble government that rapidly reconfigures for energy scarcity
* Active support for relocalization, worker-owned cooperatives,
locally-owned businesses and ecological city design
* Innovative municipal tools to affect land and energy use such as
zoning ordinances, transfer development rights, tenancy agreements and
community benefit agreements
* A contingency plan that addresses how essential systems will work with
less energy
* Pressure on national leaders for support of local efforts, including
demands for a global carbon tax to support local initiatives and experiments


At first, some of these suggestions will meet great resistance. As the
evidence mounts, it will become easier to make the case for serious change.
Because so much time has been wasted since the 1970s oil shocks were
shrugged off, it is essential that cities begin preparations now. "The
starting is very important," says Jaime Lerner, President of the
International Union of Architects, former mayor of Curitiba, Brazil, and the
driving force behind that city's emergence as the world's most ecological
city. "If you wait until you have all the answers, you will never start."

David Room is Communications Director of the Post Carbon Institute. He has
broad experience in environmental affairs, energy, and the use of technology
for communications and collaboration. He has a Masters in Engineering
Economic Systems and a B.S. in Electrical Engineering from Stanford
University. He can be reached at dave@postcarbon.org.

Urban Age - Creating the Post-Carbon City

Urban Age - Creating the Post-Carbon City

By David Room

Many cities have become obsessed with growth. Some find themselves using new
development to finance the services required for previous development. Such
patterns rely on ready access to cheap energy supplies. These supplies,
however, are now coming into question in a way that is far more serious than
the energy shocks of the 1970s; geology as opposed to geopolitics is driving
a process that heralds permanent energy scarcity. If energy realists are
right, cities will need to refocus drastically away from energy-intensive
development towards using significantly less energy, not only in the built
environment, but in the whole city infrastructure.
A Stressed Biosphere

Energy-subsidized human activity is causing severe biosphere destruction
that threatens life on the planet, human and other. Headlines regularly
highlight rapid species extinction, fisheries depletion and other disturbing
trends. Most troubling, there is now widespread scientific agreement that
human-induced global warming, primarily from the burning of fossil fuels, is
causing increasingly harmful climate disruption. Atmospheric greenhouse
gases are at levels 30 percent higher than Earth has experienced during the
last 400,000 years and they continue to rise inexorably. There are already
clear signs of what may become uncontrollable, irreparable impacts.
Civilization is clearly headed in the wrong direction, and urgent and
dramatic action is needed.

Although human activity has always tended to disrupt ecosystems, climate and
other environmental problems have been exacerbated in the last century.
Soon, for the first time, more people will live in cities than rural areas.
City dwellers lead relatively energy intensive lives, even those that live
in poverty. As a result, energy consumption rises with our explosive urban
population growth. Cheap oil and natural gas have been the primary enablers
of the population increase and the energy-intensive urban lifestyle.
However, after one hundred and fifty years of extraordinary growth, these
fuel sources are reaching their limits.
Oil and Gas Peak

Oil and gas do not sit in underground caverns: they are trapped in gaps in
certain types of rocks. This is a critical point, because it means that oil
and gas fields do not simply drain out as from a tank, but generally follow
a bell-shaped pattern of rising to a peak of production and then falling
away. The U.S. peaked in 1970. Peak oil makes nonsense of recent claims by
British Petroleum that we have enough oil for forty years. Of course, oil
will still be pumping in a hundred and forty years-just not very much.

Alarm bells sounded in the 1970s with various oil and gas shocks, and there
was talk of "running out." But the urgency was subsequently quelled by
significant discoveries in Alaska and the North Sea; extraction was a matter
of engineering-very difficult, but possible. Times are different now. Unlike
the 1970s, we have no new huge provinces have been discovered-in fact, the
North Sea was the last such find. Worse still, following a declining trend,
in 2003 for the first time in many years no major fields were discovered,
and the world oil production rate is now six times the current discovery
rate. To underline how different times are now, Matthew Simmons, chairman of
the world's largest private energy bank and writer of a forthcoming book on
Saudi oil, believes that Saudi Arabia-the world's largest oil exporter-has
reached a production plateau and that decline is imminent. The whole Middle
East may also be on a plateau.

When global oil peak will occur is debatable, and can only be known for
certain in retrospect. Princeton University geologist Kenneth Deffeyes and
others believe that we have passed the peak for conventional oil that is
easily and economically extractable using known techniques. Colin Campbell
of the Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas and, Ali Samsam
Bakhtiari of the National Iranian Oil Company, using separate calculations,
both predict that the peak will occur in 2006 for all oil, including
unconventional. For oil and natural gas together, the Association predicts a
peak of 2011. Many other geologists predict peak oil within a decade. The
glaring exception is the U.S. Geological Survey, which puts peak in mid
century. Surely, high oil pricing, recent write-downs of oil reserves by
Shell and others, record natural gas pricing and resource conflicts
foreshadow serious issues with world energy supply. Prudence requires that
those involved in urban planning begin considering the possibility that oil
is peaking now, since revamping infrastructure takes decades.
Impetus for change

The imminent peaking of global oil and gas production could be the catalyst
for the positive transformation of industrial society, and perhaps avert
catastrophic climate change. It could also be disastrous. Essential systems
such as food, electricity, health care and transportation that form the
foundation of industrial civilization depend on unfettered access to cheap
oil and natural gas. Industrial agriculture relies upon natural gas-derived
fertilizers, oil-based pesticides, oil-intensive transport and plastic
packaging. In fact, fuel accounts for virtually 100% of the work that is
done in industrial society

Once supply begins to drop and is no longer able to meet demand, less work
will be done-which means less economic activity. Alternative energies,
conservation and new energy carriers such as hydrogen will undoubtedly play
a role in future energy systems, yet collectively they will not be enough to
preserve industrial society as we know it. A largely positive outcome could
result from extraordinary planning, action and enduring behavior change.
Cities must prepare for a serious decrease in net energy availability in
their twenty year time horizon or else accept "the cyanide solution of much
more coal and nuclear" says Julian Darley, author of High Noon for Natural
Gas.
The burden of cities

Most future initiatives to stave off an energy meltdown will be led from the
local level-where most energy consumption actually occurs. Every city and
community will have different portfolios of solutions tailored to their
circumstances and culture. Solutions for Toronto's suburbs will be different
from those of Johannesburg. Cities-backed by governments providing
appropriate support through ending fossil fuel subsidies, developing
renewables and considering carbon taxes-must begin experiments to discover
what works and what does not in a given locale.

This knowledge must be gained before the coming energy crisis-experiments
that do not work now may be considered useful information. If experiments
fail in crisis conditions, people are likely to suffer grievously. Cuba is a
salutary example of a country that had to face a sudden and near total
collapse in both its oil supply and most of its external economic system.
Its experiences will likely prove instructive as the rest of the world
grapples with energy scarcity. To save precious time and resources,
communities and cities will need to learn from existing models, share
experiments, outcomes and lessons learned; the term sister city will soon
have a whole new meaning.

Cities need to prepare themselves to do less materially with much less
energy and fewer natural resources, with the ultimate goal of sustainable
living largely within the confines of their bioregion. "We need to reinvent
the city," says Richard Heinberg, author of The Party's Over and Powerdown.
"To not do so will be suicide." One famous example of energy and natural
resource collapse occurred on Easter Island, whose complex society unraveled
into cannibalism.
Key building blocks of the solution

Relocalization is the process by which communities localize their economies
and essential systems, such as food and energy production, water, monetary,
governance and media. To even out local difficulties relocalization will
require some degree of regional integration. Cities need to support and
collaborate with community groups on relocalization experiments, since
cities are the information hubs and the final destination of most production
and resources. The benefit will be adaptable communities and cities that
collectively operate within the means of their bioregion, using locally
produced food and fuel. As James Howard Kunstler, the author of The
Geography of Nowhere, puts it, "the 3,000 mile Caesar salad will be much
less palatable when oil is $100 a barrel." Many regions will also have to
experiment with local currencies, as there may be great difficulties with
present financial systems.

"The city is radically out of sync with healthy life systems on earth, and
is functioning in nearly complete disregard of its long-term sustenance,"
says Richard Register of Eco City Builders. "We need to move beyond New
Urbanism to rebuild cities for people instead of cars and regain a human
balance with nature." To roll back sprawl, Register suggests ecological city
design as the framework for rebuilding cities around high density, mixed use
centers with pedestrian plazas, solar greenhouses, rooftop gardens,
ecologically informed architecture and natural features like creeks. In
Register's "eco-city" concept, centers are interspersed with natural open
space, parks, and farming, linking to other city centers and regional
centers via appropriate transit.

Sound municipal governance for the transition into the post-carbon age
requires:

* Nimble government that rapidly reconfigures for energy scarcity
* Active support for relocalization, worker-owned cooperatives,
locally-owned businesses and ecological city design
* Innovative municipal tools to affect land and energy use such as
zoning ordinances, transfer development rights, tenancy agreements and
community benefit agreements
* A contingency plan that addresses how essential systems will work with
less energy
* Pressure on national leaders for support of local efforts, including
demands for a global carbon tax to support local initiatives and experiments


At first, some of these suggestions will meet great resistance. As the
evidence mounts, it will become easier to make the case for serious change.
Because so much time has been wasted since the 1970s oil shocks were
shrugged off, it is essential that cities begin preparations now. "The
starting is very important," says Jaime Lerner, President of the
International Union of Architects, former mayor of Curitiba, Brazil, and the
driving force behind that city's emergence as the world's most ecological
city. "If you wait until you have all the answers, you will never start."

David Room is Communications Director of the Post Carbon Institute. He has
broad experience in environmental affairs, energy, and the use of technology
for communications and collaboration. He has a Masters in Engineering
Economic Systems and a B.S. in Electrical Engineering from Stanford
University. He can be reached at dave@postcarbon.org.

Sunday, August 21, 2005

Living on the Hundred-Mile Diet

EnergyBulletin.net | Living on the Hundred-Mile Diet | Energy and Peak Oil News

By Alisa Smith and J.B. MacKinnon

Eating a truly local diet for a year poses some tricky questions. First in a series.

It's strawberry season. James and I are at the Ellis Farms u-pick on Delta's Westham Island, crouching between long rows of the bunchy green plants, plucking the big berries and dropping them gently into small buckets. We imagine their future with cream and in pies. I lick the sweet red juice from my fingers. "If I make jam we can have strawberries all year," I say. James asks with what, exactly, I plan to make the jam? Sugar? One of the planet's most exploitative products, shipped in from thousands of kilometres away?

"But what," I reply, "will we eat all winter?"

This may seem like a peculiar question in an age when it's normal to have Caribbean mangoes in winter and Australian pears in spring. However, on March 21, the first day of spring, we took a vow to live with the rhythms of the land as our ancestors did. For one year we would only buy food and drink for home consumption that was produced within 100 miles of our home, a circle that takes in all the fertile Fraser Valley, the southern Gulf Islands and some of Vancouver Island, and the ocean between these zones. This terrain well served the European settlers of a hundred years ago, and the First Nations population for thousands of years before.

This may sound like a lunatic Luddite scheme, but we had our reasons. The short form would be: fossil fuels bad. For the average American meal (and we assume the average Canadian meal is similar), World Watch reports that the ingredients typically travel between 2,500 and 4,000 kilometres, a 25 percent increase from 1980 alone. This average meal uses up to 17 times more petroleum products, and increases carbon dioxide emissions by the same amount, compared to an entirely local meal.

Let's translate that into the ecological footprint model devised by Dr. William Rees of UBC which measures how many planets'-worth of resources would be needed if everyone did the same. If you had an average North American lifestyle in every other way, from driving habits to the size of your house, by switching to a local diet you would save almost an entire planet's worth of resources (though you'd still be gobbling up seven earths).

Mmmm, good?

But forget about virtue. Think instead about the pure enjoyment that should come with eating. Few would deny that all this seasonless supermarket produce often has very little taste. Those grapefruits the size of your head, and strawberries the size plums used to be, have the consistency of cardboard. On the other hand, we took our inspiration from a meal we created entirely from the bounty around us while staying at our off-the-grid cabin in northern British Columbia: a Dolly Varden trout, chanterelle mushrooms, dandelion greens and potatoes--all from the fields, forests, and streams within easy walking distance.

So our rules, when we began, were purist. It was not enough for food to be locally produced (as in bread made by local bakers.) No. Every single ingredient had to come from the earth in our magic 100-mile circle. Our only "out" was that we were allowed to eat occasionally in restaurants or at friends' houses as we always had, so that we did not have to be social outcasts for a year. And, if we happened to travel elsewhere, we could bring home foods grown within a hundred miles of that new place.

Immediately there were problems. First was the expense. We used to eat a nearly vegan diet at home-our dwindling bank accounts emphasized how much cheaper beans, rice and tofu are than wild salmon, oysters and organic boutique cheeses.

Shrinking butts

Then, we wasted away. We were unable to find any locally grown grains-no more bread, pasta, or rice. The only starch left to us was the potato. Between us, we lost about 15 pounds in six weeks. While I appreciated the beauty and creativity of James' turnip sandwich, with big slabs of roasted turnip as the "bread," this innovation did little to stave off the constant hunger. James' jeans hung down his butt like a skater boy. He told me I had no butt left at all.

At the end of these desperate six weeks, we loosened our rules to include locally milled flour. Anita's, the one local company we found, said they got their organic grains from the Peace district and from Saskatchewan. We decided this would have to do. We had phoned a couple of local organic farmers who, on the Certified Organic Associations of BC website, listed wheat among their products, but one said he no longer did it, and the other never returned our call. Surely, 100 years ago, farmers grew wheat in the Fraser Valley to supply local needs, but the global market system is a disincentive to such small-scale production. There's no competing with the huge agri-businesses that have cloaked the Canadian prairies with grain.

Then there was a lack of variety. From March 21 until the farmers' markets started in mid-May, the only locally grown vegetables available were humble fare like kale, cabbage, turnip, rutabaga, parsnip and leeks. By late April, even these ran out in our West Side neighbourhood stores-Capers, IGA, Safeway, New Apple, and the Granville Island market-and only U.S.-grown versions were available. For a couple of weeks we wondered if it would be possible to go on with this crazy diet. We could walk into, say, an IGA and look down all those glittering aisles, and there was not a single thing we could buy.

On a late-April visit to Victoria I checked out a Thrifty's supermarket, and they had a local organic salad mix. I bought a huge bag to bring home-at $17.99 a pound. While we are grateful to have a Capers near our home, we were frustrated that, for about two weeks after local lettuces were for sale at the Trout Lake farmer's market, Capers continued to sell only organic greens from California.

Farmers' market heaven

Now that the farmers' markets are in full swing, we are perfectly content with the Hundred-Mile Diet. But the markets end in September. What to do from then until next March? My thoughts turn to preserves. Then it comes back to the sugar question.

"Couldn't we use honey?" James says as we survey our 26 pounds of fresh-picked strawberries.

"I don't think it will 'jam' with just honey," I say. "And you need so much sugar-I can't imagine what that much honey would cost."

The strawberry lady tells us that the Cameron family sells honey just up the road, so we drive there to find out the cost. The bee lady, Gail Cameron, walks out of her bungalow when she hears the crunch of our tires on the driveway. She tells us that this is the first honey of the season, blueberry, and she gives us a sample on a popsicle stick. It is the sweetest, most delicious honey I've ever had. We buy a kilogram for $11. (A kilogram of sugar costs $2.59.)

At home I heat a few saucepots of strawberries until they release their own juices, and grudgingly add one cup of precious honey, to make a grand total of two large jars of preserves. I was right, they don't "jam," but we do end up with a tasty sauce. We pray for good bulk rates when summer sunshine gets the bees making more honey, but we suspect that honey is out of our reach as a means of preserving a winter's worth of fruit. But there is détente for now on the sugar question-at least until blueberry season next month.

Alisa Smith and J.B. MacKinnon will be writing twice a month on The Tyee about their attempt to eat well on the Hundred-Mile Diet. For more information on finding locally produced food visit the web site of FarmFolk/CityFolk at www.farmfolkcityfolk.ca

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Wanted: A Perfectly Local Chicken

For a truly sustainable breakfast, which comes first? The tofu or the egg?

[In the interest of preserving the environment, the authors are on a '100-Mile Diet'. They have vowed to eat nothing originating more than 100 miles from their home in Vancouver. This is the second in series.]

Does vegetarianism make ecological sense? For more than 15 years, the answer, for us, has been yes. We accepted the now-familiar sustainability formula: on any given tract of agricultural land, it is almost always possible to produce more vegetable foods than animals to eat. Add in the question of cruelty (which seems to increase with every "efficiency" added to animal husbandry), and for us the issue was no contest.

These days, however, we’re asking a new question. Does vegetarianism fit into a local, sustainable diet?

Now things are getting complicated.

Alisa and I were near-vegans when we began our Hundred Mile Diet three months ago. Suddenly, everything we could eat or drink at home had to come from local land and waters, and immediately an unexpected ethical question loomed. What the hell are we going to eat for breakfast?

The neighbourhood chickens

Consider: we knew of no locally grown and milled cereals or flours. It was too early in the year for fresh fruit. We couldn’t eat rice pudding, or scrambled tofu, or that nice Egyptian fava bean breakfast called ful medames. What we had were potatoes and . . . more potatoes.

Well-meaning friends offered the following advice: "Buy eggs, you idiots!" Sorry, well-meaning friends, but it’s not that easy. Yes, there are local, organic, free-range chickens busy producing local eggs. But what are the chickens eating? The answer, typically, is feed that has travelled the same kinds of distances as most grocery-store products—an average, according to World Watch, of a whopping, globe-warming 2,500 to 4,000 kilometres.

Then we discovered the UBC Farm.

Tucked among the conifers that spread south from the central university campus, UBC Farm is home to an organic market garden as well as 83 Hy-Line Brown chickens. Beyond raising our own, this is about the closest connection to local food that we could ask for. Alisa and I can ride bikes to the Saturday public market (9 a.m. to 1 p.m.), where we are free to walk the grounds and visit the chickens (though they never seem to remember us). We can see for ourselves the birds' living conditions—500 square metres of free range in which the handsome, rust-coloured hens forage for bugs, eat at feeders, or peck at organic waste from the farm. We even know, roughly, the birds' birthdays: the whole brood was born in December 2004 and will be kept three years before slaughter.

Much of what the chickens eat, then, is as local as can be. Their cereal feed is not. According to Mark Bomford, program coordinator for the farm, the organic feed comes from Alberta. It is, however, brought to Vancouver via a transshipment arrangement, by which trucks that deliver steel to Alberta return with loads of chicken feed.

More importantly, UBC Farm is working toward all-local feed for the chickens. The students and staff have experimented with growing grain on-site, and plan to revive old threshers and other farm machinery from a former agricultural teaching and research complex on campus. While Bomford admits it’s "mostly lunchroom talk" right now, the ultimate vision is to grow, harvest and blend a complete chicken feed on the farm. Meanwhile, Bomford adds, the chickens do more than simply lay eggs—they contribute to the sustainability of overall food production. Chicken manure is a potent fertilizer, and the Hy-Line Browns are also being tested for pest-control duty.

Global vegetarianism? No thanks

As for the eggs—we'll take a dozen, thanks. When it comes to eating locally, we've had to abandon strict vegetarianism.

The strange fact is that vegetarianism as commonly practiced is, like the rest of the industrial food system, propped up by the globalization of food and everything that it entails, including a total disconnection between food consumers and producers, and the cataclysmic ecological costs of shipping food around the world. At its worst, global vegetarianism is still cleaner and greener than global meat-eating, and is certainly more humane. On a local level, though, the questions are more complicated.

Why were the UBC Farm eggs so important to us? Because vegetable-based protein sources aren't exactly abundant in these parts. There are hazelnuts; unfortunately, Alisa is allergic to them. The most readily available protein sources are all animal-based: fish and shellfish, eggs, dairy, meat. It is increasingly clear that local, sustainable eating is not always going to be vegetarian. Imagine attempting a Hundred Mile Diet in Whitehorse (a brother of mine is considering exactly that—and picturing a lot of meals of fish and game).

I can hear the carnivores cheering now. Well, don’t roll out the coupons for Memphis Blues Barbeque House just yet. UBC Farm may be committed to principles of local sustainability and humane stewardship, but they are far from the norm. When it comes to food choices, the line-up of questions facing animal products is long. Where did the product come from? Where did the feed for the animal come from? Was the feed genetically modified? Was it organic? Was the animal "improved" with a biomedical soup of hormones, stimulants, antibiotics? Were its living conditions acceptable? Can we live with the conditions of its slaughter?

So much complexity, and it’s still only breakfast time.

Delta wheat

The good news: asking these kinds of questions led Alisa and me in surprising directions. By making inquiries about chicken feed, we eventually found locally grown Red Fife wheat, a heritage variety almost forgotten by industrial farming. Once we’ve milled the grain generously given to us by a Delta farmer, we’ll have breakfast options beyond hash browns: like, say, pancakes smothered in seasonal berries from the U-pick operations on Westham Island near Ladner. A search for other heritage grain growers led us to Dan Jason of Salt Spring Seeds—who also stocks seed for regional soy, black, pinto and other dried beans and legumes, and who has made his own 100-percent-local tofu. In theory, a vegetarian or even vegan diet could be supplied by local farms.

"It’s time, it’s really time," said Jason. "Even on [Salt Spring] island here there's talk of growing beans and grains on a larger scale, owning a combine cooperatively or something like that."

If and when it gets to that point, I suspect the chickens and their eggs will still be with us. I recently spent half a year researching a book in the Dominican Republic (shameless plug: Dead Man in Paradise will be published by Douglas & McIntyre in October), where self-sufficiency remains a grand tradition. In the city of Santo Domingo, a modern urban capital of more than two million people, it's no surprise to wake up to the rooster's crow and see hens foraging on the boulevards. According to Bonita Magee, project manager with Farm Folk/City Folk, there is no current local campaign to roll back Vancouver's prohibition against raising chickens, bees and other useful animals in the city, but she knows there is a quiet upwelling of support for the idea. She knows, in fact, of chickens being kept illicitly among us.

It’s one kind of grow-op the neighbours don’t seem to mind.

Next time: The pleasures of local eating, recipes included.

Previously:

Living on the Hundred Mile Diet

Alisa Smith and J.B. MacKinnon will be writing twice a month for The Tyee about their attempt to eat well on the Hundred-Mile Diet. For more information on finding locally produced food visit the web site of FarmFolk/CityFolk at www.farmfolkcityfolk.ca.

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A Local Eating Rhapsody

Why not try a Hundred-Mile Meal? Third in a series.

A few days ago, I went over to a friend's house and he offered me a banana. It had been a while. Beginning with the first day of spring, my partner Alisa and I had made a commitment to buy no food or drink for home consumption that had travelled from farther than a hundred-mile radius. Well, I accepted the gift of the banana. I ate the damn thing, and wow, was it ever delicious.

Then I caught myself. Why get so hopped up about a banana? It's not as though the Hundred-Mile Diet has been sparse and bland. Just a week ago I was literally pouring double handfuls of blueberries fresh off the bush and into my mouth, a moment of foodie decadence as great as any I've ever experienced. Alisa and I might have started eating close to home in order to explore what a truly sustainable diet could look like, but we aren't people who get a charge out of feeling holier-than-thou. We like our pleasures real.

Below the megamart radar

As we talk about the Hundred-Mile Diet with various people, we hear again and again that our meals must be both spartan and shockingly repetitive. I understand where that impression comes from-the local grocery store. Living in a cargo-cult food culture, we now take for granted the fact that we can eat strawberries from New Zealand in January and might never see a Fraser Valley apple on the shelf. Take away certain global ingredients-like sugar cane-and whole aisles in the megamart might as well have vanished.

What we're finding, however, is that there is a world of local foods to be found below the radar. In fact, as we creep into the growers' high season, it's an embarrassment of riches. Even in early spring-the leanest time of year, when few fresh foods are ready to harvest-we managed to make do. This was the menu for our first official Hundred-Mile Meal back in March: Hothouse cucumber slices with beet, carrot and kohlrabi slaw.

Steamed kale and mashed potatoes.

Organic yoghurt with garden anise.

Spring salmon with organic sage butter.

Warm Saltspring Island brie with ground roasted hazelnuts, frozen blueberries, and a cranberry juice and honey reduction.

Fraser Valley bacchus wine and Cowichan Valley cider.

"Goodness," we thought as we cradled our bellies after the meal. "How will we ever survive?"

We don't often eat that well, of course, if only because the cost would soon leave us with only a single dining option: the food bank. But the persistent idea that a local diet can't be varied is an indication of how disconnected most of us are from the reality of living in one of the planet's richest ecological regions. Yes, the long, cold, wet spring was a challenge (at one point we ate a chickweed and dandelion salad), but only because we were starting with a knowledge base near zero.

Now, that's good

What did we eventually come up with? We ate fiddleheads, the catch-them-or-they're-gone baby ostrich ferns that are picked wild from secret sweet spots in the Fraser Valley. We discovered that the tang of dried local seaweeds is improbably addictive. Strait of Georgia shellfish, we can now confirm, are at their buttery best in the colder months-we steamed them in the impressive wines of local vintners like Domaine de Chaberton, and drank off the juices. Largely forgotten root vegetables like celeriac and sunchokes found their way to the table, along with good winter keepers like parsnips, cabbages, kale, red onions and even apples. Yes, we ate a lot of potatoes, but also bright hothouse peppers and dried wild mushrooms. There were few fruits but a lot of fruit juice, especially shots of pure cranberry that can open your eyes in the morning like a triple espresso. Hungry for protein, we got to know exactly when and where fisheries openings would occur. We kissed halibut. A later field trip up the valley revealed orchards of hazelnuts (Alisa is allergic; for me they've become a staple).

There are still red and black currants in the freezer.

As the season wore on and we became leading local experts on the qualities of various spuds, we celebrated the arrival of new potatoes, so crisp, rich and nutty that they might as well have been a whole new vegetable. We ate our first ones raw. We mourned the passing of a ruinous asparagus season (better luck next year). But the weather has been good to the berries; the rains made them fat, and now the sun has made them sweet. Even the pithy wild salal berries, beloved of bears, are juicy this year and leave your mouth with a perfumed taste. These are the fruits of spring and early summer, though plums and some local apricots are starting to turn up at the markets.

Did I mention the honey? Somewhere along the way we discovered pumpkin-flower honey, which made me wonder what that insipid stuff was that I'd been spreading on my toast since childhood.

Now, everything is changing yet again. Fiddleheads are long forgotten, and the summertime cuisine is all about the colour green: lettuces, collards and mustard greens, dai gai choi and joi choi, sweet gypsy peppers, fava bean pods the size of sausages, pickling cucumbers, even green tomatoes. In other words: Don't worry, mom, we're getting our vitamins and minerals. It's worth pausing to note that many of these foods that turn up in the markets-or in our community garden plot-can never be found in the local Safeway. All of them, almost without fail, will be more flavourful than anything you'll find shipped in from California or from Ecuador.

'Agritourism'

Whole cultural currents are beginning to turn around local foods and eating. The use of regional ingredients has become a cliché among chefs (though often louder in the saying than the doing), municipalities like Surrey, Richmond, and Delta now promote "agritourism," and the international Slow Food movement (which has a local chapter) celebrates regional eating and real, human relationships with growers and producers.

The result-above and beyond the reduction of greenhouse gases produced in global shipping-is support for a local economy that is also being propelled toward organic and sustainable practices. (This, in turn, opens the fields to even more rarified and complex production methods such as permaculture, which attempts to design permanent, high-yielding agricultural ecosystems using as little land as possible.) The pattern is based on a straightforward rule: it is easier to make ethical decisions about sustainability and animal husbandry when you can walk onto the farm and see for yourself. Distance is the enemy of awareness.

But enough about all of that. There are a lot of Big Issues associated with the food system, and there will be time to write about several of them here as the Hundred-Mile Diet continues. The point of this dispatch is to forget about the politics and . . . rhapsodize. Eating locally is a grand adventure. It has taken us to 40-year-old family fish shops and introduced us to people who have grown their own soy beans for homemade tofu. It has left us calling our mothers to find out how to wash and cook whole-grain wheat. Best of all, every time I open the refrigerator to come up with something for dinner, I feel like a pioneer.

Let's see, I've got radishes, blue potatoes, sage, clams and garlic. Recipe books are plumbed. Old standbys are transformed. And isn't that how cookery as distinct as those of Tuscany and Provence, not to mention the coastal First Nations, evolved? It is hard to imagine those cuisines emerging in today's global culture-does oolichan grease go with durian fruit?-but as we move closer to home and follow the seasons, we'll see innovation start to happen at the speed of necessity.

Why not try your hand? Alisa and I are eating locally for a year, but the same experiment can work for a night, a dinner party, a potluck. This we can guarantee: you will begin to change the way you think about your food. And maybe that dinner will turn into breakfast, lunch and beyond. All of which, I guess, is my long and winding way of saying that I don't really miss bananas. If a friend offers one, I'll take it. I'll take it for exactly what it is-a treat from another world.

RECIPES

Here's a day's worth of local eating. Please note that I'm just an ordinary, three-meals-a-day cook-not a chef-so what you're getting is far from perfect. Improvements on these recipes, or 100-percent-local recipes of your own, are more than welcome. -J.B.

Breakfast Fritters

1 cup grated potato

3-5 green onions, chopped

1 cup of "character" (see below)

2 eggs

1 tbsp melted butter

salt and cracked hot peppers

In a large bowl, toss potato (good baking or mashing varieties such as russets are best), green onions and "character" (whatever is seasonal and at hand, such as crumbled cooked salmon, roasted red peppers, sweet corn, wild mushrooms). Lightly beat eggs; whisk in melted butter, as well as salt and cracked peppers to taste. Pour over the potato mixture and stir together. (Add a third egg if the resulting batter seems too thin.) Heat a lightly buttered skillet to medium-low. Spread the mixture into "pancakes," cook until golden, then flip and cook on the other side.

Local notes: All of these products are locally available, especially at farmers' markets (except salt; we still have old stocks of salt on hand, and will work to find a local source as that disappears-any leads?). We buy organic within reason, and only purchase organic animal products. If you have further concerns over the care of local laying hens or dairy cows, most local farms welcome questions and arrange visits. And yes, hot peppers turn up at local markets. I have a bagful from Surrey.

* * *

Hundred-Mile Pesto

1 lb (500 g) arugula

2 cloves garlic

1/3 to 1/2 cup crushed, roasted hazelnuts

Salt and cracked hot peppers

2-3 tbsp butter

First, prepare whatever it is you might want to put your pesto onto-local choices include potatoes boiled to just off the crunch or whole-grain Red Fife wheat. Set aside one cup of cooking liquid. Next, finely hand-chop all ingredients but butter. Toss with the potatoes or wheat berries. Add butter and enough cooking liquid that the pesto clings like a sauce. Warm on the stove until just heated through, then serve.

Local notes: The best arugula I've ever eaten is local-leaves so young and tender one grower said calling them "baby greens" was not enough. He called them "micro greens." Garlic and arugula are readily available, the latter especially in spring and early summer. Hazelnuts are grown in the Fraser Valley.

* * *

Fanny Bay Pie

6 medium to large oysters

3 eggs

1 cup celery

1 onion (or 4-5 green onions)

2 cups boiled potatoes

salt and cracked hot peppers

butter

parsley

In a small to medium skillet, melt enough butter to sauté. Add onions and celery (or substitute celery for another seasonal vegetable, such as green beans or carrots). Cook slowly until tender. Meanwhile, hard-boil the eggs. Set aside the liquor from the oysters and then cut the oysters into the skillet using scissors. Turn up the heat to medium-low and fry oysters until they curl. Remove from heat and turn out the mixture into a greased pie plate. Roughly chop the boiled eggs and stir them in. Season to taste with salt and hot peppers, and moisten with the oyster liquor. Cover the "pie" with mashed potatoes (prepared as you wish, with or without butter, milk, etc). Bake about 20 minutes or until contents are bubbling and potato crust is lightly browned. Spread chopped parsley over the top and serve . . . we ate it with a salad and gooseberry wine from Westham Island Estate Winery.

Local notes: All ingredients should be readily available. Strait of Georgia oysters can be found at reputable fish shops.

Previously in this series:

Living on the Hundred-Mile Diet

Wanted: A Perfectly Local Chicken

Alisa Smith and J.B. MacKinnon will be writing twice a month for The Tyee about their attempt to eat well on the Hundred-Mile Diet. For more information on finding locally produced food visit the web site of FarmFolk/CityFolk.

Have your own wholly local recipes to share? Post them below.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------



Why We Pay Too Little for Well Travelled Food

Charging the true cost of "food miles" could change the way people eat. Fourth in a series.

Walk into a supermarket and look at the pile of tomatoes. Maybe they're from BC or Washington; maybe they're from Mexico. Chances are, either way, they're about $3 per pound. How does produce that has travelled thousands of kilometers end up retailing for no more than the local goods-and sometimes for even less?

There are a lot of complicated equations at work here, from economies of scale to labour costs to the pricing power of trend-setting agricultural giants like California. One area that is often overlooked, however, is the realm of "externalities"-the term economists use to describe the costs (or benefits) of producing an item that affect people other than the producers themselves. Externalities are typically not reflected in prices. The Economist magazine calls this a form of market failure, as well they might.

In terms of our sample tomato, those hidden costs might include government tax breaks and subsidies to oil companies (which reduce costs of chemical fertilizer, shipping and packaging); government-funded water diversion projects; subsidies to industrial agriculture; support of expensive highway systems; and the downstream costs of agrochemical pollution, such as health care and water purification.

Who pays the price for all of that? We all do, though our taxes. Where we don't pay for it is at the supermarket till when they ring through our $3-a-pound tomato.

Hidden costs paid later

Call it the Mxyztplk Economy. You remember Mr. Mxyztplk from the old comic books-the super-villain from a different dimension where everything was the reverse of what it ought to be. That parallel universe is the industrial food system. Instead of each of us paying the true cost of our food choices up front, we buy our food cheap and pay the hidden environmental and social price later as a society.

In March, James and I started a yearlong experiment in local eating that we call the Hundred-Mile Diet. The distance that food typically travels to get to our plates was a major motivator, and sure enough, "food miles" are a seriously see-no-evil externality. In fact, despite the gas-pump rage that many of us now feel, subsidies continue to keep transportation costs artificially cheap-right now they amount to only 10 percent of the retail price of a tomato that's been shipped halfway across the continent, says a 2001 study by the Leopold Center for Sustainable Agriculture.

No one seems to have calculated what an imported tomato should cost in an honest economy, but I'll make a guess based on recent British research. A 2002 Worldwatch study shows that the British government spends CAN$3.2 billion fixing farming-related problems, such as purifying drinking water polluted by agrochemicals and containing mad-cow disease. This is nearly the amount of all British farmers' annual income-in other words, the present wholesale price of produce. Then there are the many other expenses the British people bear to keep industrial farmers afloat, most notably $6.4 billion in annual subsidies (a situation paralleled in North America). Transfer these tripled expenses from taxpayers and onto tomatoes, and they could cost $9 a pound.

Suddenly, an imported, chemically treated tomato would cost far more than a local, organic variety. We have escaped from the Mxyztplk Economy.

China's agro ambitions

In July, the British government made a move in that direction by promising to reduce by 20 percent the environmental and social costs of food transport by 2012. Closer to home, Capers markets recently began working to consolidate produce deliveries from local growers, saving fuel costs to the farmers and externalities to all of us, and Small Potatoes Home Delivery lists food miles on its receipts. Unfortunately, this is not necessarily the direction that the global food system seems to be heading-if anything, we're digging deeper into a world where the cost of our choices is hidden from us until everybody has to pay them.

"China has committed to being the world's biggest supplier of produce," says Rich Pirog, the marketing and food systems program leader at the Leopold Center in Iowa. Externalities in this case will include massive government damming and irrigation projects, dislocation and relocation of millions of people, and devastating environmental impacts as the world's most populous nation expands farmland and turns more aggressively toward agrochemicals. If China succeeds in its aims, it will also increase the average distance the food on North American plates travels (let us mention again that it's already 2,500 to 4,000 kilometres), further revving up global warming.

Fortunately, a countercurrent also exists. In those parts of the world that matter least to the global marketeers, local eating is still the norm. In North America and Europe, a bioregional philosophy is being revived. Consider the Broad Street Restaurant in Dorset, England, which pledged to use only produce grown within a 30-kilometre radius; the 15th-century Red Lion pub near Canterbury serves lamb and beef raised 90 metres from its door.

Vancouver bright spots

Vancouver has its own adherents. James and I pulled into the cool calm of the Raincity Grill while the Mardi Gras of the Pride parade streamed by on Denman Street. As we read the brunch menu-preserved tomato and goat cheese frittata, Dungeness crab omelette-James said incredulously, "This looks like what we eat at home." He didn't mean the sumptuous dishes themselves, but rather the ingredients: hazelnuts, daikon radish, lettuce, local cheeses and sea foods, lots of potatoes. Almost everything seasonal and local. According to chef Andrea Carlson, the menu right now focuses on the nearby farming community of Agassiz. She's proud of the role restaurants like hers play in helping local producers grow.

"I met a woman who makes phenomenal cheeses and I put them on the menu. People loved them, and things just took off for her," says Carlson.

Raincity has even given farmers seed money to ensure a steady supply of organic lamb, which is too large a start-up investment for many small-scale producers. Good will aside, she has been forced to be innovative by the global marketplace. "It's surprising how hard it is to get produce from local growers," Carlson says. "They want to sell cooperatively to big distributors, and then you don't know where stuff came from."

That's much less of a problem for Aphrodite's Café on West Fourth Avenue, where owner Allan Christian estimates that more than 90 percent of the food he is currently selling comes from the 50-acre Glen Valley Organic Farm Cooperative in Langley and its immediate neighbours. The reason? He calls the place home.

"To me, this is not a concept," he says of the local menu for his two-year-old restaurant, which began as a pie shop. "I grew up on a farm and I live on a beautiful farm and I just thought-I'll do it the way I live." His Saskatchewan roots show through when he tells us that even in winter he can call on cellared, ground-stored or winter-growing vegetables like squash or kale. Even in the early spring, when the new year's crops are nothing more than sprouts, he figures that 50 to 60 percent of Aphrodite's menu is from the cooperative.

Buying from a restaurateur who might have cut the kale leaves himself that morning? By gosh, it sounds like something from a parallel universe.

Alisa Smith and J.B. MacKinnon will be writing twice a month for The Tyee about their attempt to eat well on the Hundred-Mile Diet. For more information on finding locally produced food visit the web site of FarmFolk/CityFolk.

Read the whole 100-Mile Diet Series. Previously:

Living on the Hundred-Mile Diet

Wanted: A Perfectly Local Chicken

A Local Eating Rhapsody

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Editorial Notes ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Lifestyle pioneers who show us in detail what is to be done -- exactly what we need to get ready for a low-energy. We learn that eating locally can be a pleasure and adventure (if we get started in time).

This Energy Bulletin posting consists of the first four articles of a series published in The Tyee (British Columbia).

See the original articles for photos and many reactions from readers.

-BA
Article found at :
http://www.energybulletin.net/newswire.php?id=8138

Original article :
http://www.thetyee.ca/Life/2005/08/12/TravelledFood/

Saturday, August 13, 2005

Past the Peak

Metroactive News & Issues | Willits

How the small town of Willits plans to beat the coming energy crisis

By R. V. Scheide

A few miles north of Ukiah, Highway 101 shoots upward into Northern California's coastal mountain range, climbing and weaving up the Ridgewood Grade, leaving the vineyards of Mendocino County behind on the valley floor. The four-lane section of superslab peaks at Ridgewood Summit, the highest point on a road that stretches from Mexico to Canada. It then gently slides down into Little Lake Valley, where, at the first stop light on the highway north of the Golden Gate Bridge, it reaches the city center of Willits.

An enormous iron arch spans main street downtown; it once welcomed visitors to "the biggest little city in the world," Reno, Nev. It has since been repainted the green and red colors of Christmas and beckons visitors back to a simpler time.

Willits is a timber town. Weathered men in flannel shirts rumble by in four-wheel-drive pickups and logging trucks. The town boasts the longest continually operating rodeo in the United States. One of the local museums proudly displays steam-powered logging equipment. The Ridgewood Summit serves as a cultural as well as a geographic divide. This is where rural truly begins in Northern California.

But not all is as it seems in this rustic little town. Since at least the 1970s, the promise of a simpler life has lured a large number of Bay Area hippies, alternative types and other societal dropouts to the woods of Mendocino and Humboldt counties in what came to be known as the "back to the land" movement. These so-called ecotopians, many of whom are still around today, sought to escape what they saw as the pollution, corruption and dehumanization of modern urban life. Here in Willits, they battened down the hatches and waited for the end of the world.

It took a little while, but it appears that the end of the world has finally caught up to them.

Suburbia's End

A boyish 37-year-old with a Ph.D. in biology, Dr. Jason Bradford only relocated to Willits from Davis with his wife, Kristin, a medical doctor, and their two children last August. Initially interested in energy issues while studying climate change in the Andes several years ago, Bradford didn't really know what he was getting into when he decided to sponsor several screenings of The End of Suburbia: Oil Depletion and the Collapse of the American Dream just two months after arriving in town. Hosting a film that proclaims human civilization is going to run out of oil and is therefore doomed doesn't usually guarantee a visit from the welcome wagon. But then again, Willits isn't most towns. Bradford's initial invitation to view the film has blossomed into a popular movement that aims to, in the words of one member, "reinvent the town."

"Thirty people showed up the first time," he says. A number of people stayed to chat after the movie, and sensing local interest in the topic, he hosted another showing. Sixty people turned up that time. Ninety came to a third presentation. Bradford, who'd never really led anything larger than a small research team, could feel the momentum building. "Oh, shit!" he thought. "What do I do now?"

As it turned out, Bradford didn't have to do too much to keep the ball rolling, other than volunteering all of his spare time. That's because there's a current running through Willits that harmonizes exactly with what needs to be done to prepare for what petroleum experts call "peak oil." That current is supplied in part by the very same ecotopians who flocked to the region in the '70s. Under Bradford's leadership, they've teamed up with concerned professionals, local government officials and ordinary citizens to form the Willits Economics Localization (WELL) project. It appears to be one of the first civic groups in the United States dedicated to preparing for the coming energy crisis. But if other communities are to have any hope of retaining some semblance to the lifestyles they've grown accustomed to during the age of cheap oil, it definitely won't be the last.

Peakocalypse Now

Put simply, peak oil theory states that we've already burned through half the oil that ever existed. Competition for what remains will turn increasingly vicious as the supply dwindles, as we are already witnessing with higher prices at the gas pump and the increasing number of casualties in the Middle East, where the world's largest remaining oil reserves are located. At the current rate of consumption, some experts estimate that the remaining supply will be exhausted by 2042. When that happens, the world as we know it will certainly change and perhaps perish. Many experts are convinced that if we don't start conserving now, the end of oil may come even sooner.

That's where the back-to-the-landers come in. They may have dropped out, but they still needed to turn on. Problem was, PG&E didn't go out to the woods, and portable gas generators weren't quite as light and powerful in the '70s as they are today. So they turned to such alternative energy sources as wind and solar power. That legacy can be found in Willits today in such successful renewable energy businesses as the Applied Power Corporation and nonprofit research firms like the Renewable Energy Development Institute (REDI), which counts the city of Sacramento among its clients.

On a sizzling July afternoon, Bradford and the core members of WELL met at the REDI Haus--a 1950s home in downtown Willits refurbished with natural-fiber rugs and hemp window shades, and powered entirely by photovoltaic cells--where they prepared for that evening's community meeting. Most of WELL's core members are older than Bradford and have lived in Willits much longer. Brothers Richard and Phil Jergenson, inventors who've dreamed up products that include a life-sized erector set for adults, moved here in 1978. Phil is president of REDI; Richard has gained local fame with inventions such as the Sol Train, a solar-powered rail vehicle.

"We were fortunate to grow up when this was the book to have on your coffee table," says Richard, 54, slapping a dog-eared copy of the Whole Earth Catalog. He serves as one of the group's archivists, and his collection of Willits memorabilia includes a copy of the second issue of the locally published Mendocino Grapevine, featuring original tree-hugger cover art by R. Crumb, as well as fliers from the first Solar Expo and Rally in 1978, an event that eventually morphed into the Solar Living Center and Real Goods, the popular environmentally correct merchandise store in Hopland. He refers to WELL as "the usual gang of disgruntled individuals trying to change the world."

Lanny Cotler, 64, who describes himself as an "entrepreneur, revolutionary and successful Hollywood scriptwriter," fits right in with the gang and serves as its video archivist. You may have seen some of Cotler's work: The Earthling (1980), Backtrack (1990) and Heartwood (1998), the latter starring the late Jason Robards and set in a small town strangely similar to Willits. Ten years ago, Cotler began shopping around an idea for a sitcom, Off the Grid, based on "the kookiness of a town as it goes off the grid." He's still shopping it around today, but with the advent of peak oil, Cotler feels that "it would be more of a reality-based show now." At this evening's meeting, he's giving a presentation on the necessity for media outreach.

Thin, hawk-faced Brian Weller, 59, is the group's self-described "resident alien," a British native who's served as an organizational consultant for such major corporations as British Petroleum. Weller is extremely proficient at managing small- and large-group dynamics, a skill that has proven invaluable during WELL's first months of existence. When it comes to a topic as large and frightening as peak oil, he explains, "there are different scales of what people are able to think about. I'm helping WELL understand the process as an emerging social organization. This process will be achieved through people, and people have different perceptual filters and different agendas, both open and hidden."

Put another way, Weller means that the stakes are incredibly high. The consensus among peak oil experts is that the reduction in oil will translate into an enormous fall in global population, perhaps as much as an 80 percent decrease. (Keep in mind that cheap petroleum permeates the global economy, from transportation to manufacturing to agriculture to medicine.) Just prior to the 1992 Earth Summit in Brazil, President George H. W. Bush famously said, "The American way of life is not negotiable." Peak oil says everyone must give up something, a fact that can be difficult for individuals and groups to accept.


Simple Life?: Jason Bradford and his winter wheat patch in Willits, where residents are preparing for a peakocalypse.

Ad-Hocracy

Weller helps facilitate communication when such hidden agendas block progress, ruffling as few feathers as possible. He's fond of noting that the Chinese ideogram for "crisis," weiji, is made up of two characters, one signifying danger and the other opportunity. He finds both elements present in the crisis presented by peak oil. "This is a trend that plays against the overall trend of globalization," he notes. "We feel there's been an erosion of well-integrated communities. We want to reinvent what it means to be a community."

With an abundance of such enlightened individuals in the Willits area, which has a total population of 15,000, why hasn't the community already prepared for the coming storm? The answer can be partially seen along the so-called miracle mile strip of highway south of town with its ubiquitous fast-food restaurants and strip malls defining the suburban American landscape. The same economic forces that have shaped the rest of post-WW II America have been hard at work in Willits.

"Only 5,287 people live in the city proper," Bradford elaborates. "Almost two-thirds of the population live sprawled out in the suburbs. We're a rural community with agricultural land, but none of that ag land feeds us. The average person commutes to work 28 miles per day."

As the core members of WELL discovered, such basic elements of modern suburban life are merely the tip of an enormous iceberg that shadows not just Willits, but the entire American way of life. The sheer size of the problem is intimidating, leaving only one logical solution: Chip the iceberg down to size.

From the first three showings of The End of Suburbia, Bradford attracted roughly 60 volunteers who were willing to turn up at meetings even when there wasn't a film being shown, even when it was pouring down rain. In many ways, they're a homogenous lot--mostly white, middle-class baby boomers--but they also represent a wide diversity of skills and viewpoints.

Bradford and the core members, working as a steering committee they jokingly refer to as an "ad-hocracy," originally identified 14 key areas of interest pertaining to peak oil and the community's survival that seemed to match up well with the interests of the overall membership. Eventually, these 14 areas were consolidated into six working groups: food, energy, shelter, water, health and wellness, and social organization.

"We need to figure out what we can do now, and what we can do in the future, when we don't have the resources coming in," says Brian Corzilius, 47, a core WELL member whose training as an electrical engineer landed him in the energy group. Working with energy-group members Richard and Phil Jergenson, as well as Willits City Council member Ron Orenstein and others, Corzilius helped conduct an "energy inventory" of Willits that provided the first snapshot of where the town is now--and how far it has to go.

Compiling existing data from companies and government agencies ranging from PG&E, the California Energy Commission, the Mendocino Air Quality Management District and the U.S. Department of Transportation, the group was able to determine that Willits uses more than 1,000 megawatt hours (MWh) of imported energy per day. Energy sources from outside the Willits area include propane, firewood, natural gas, electricity and--by far the largest slice of the imported energy pie--diesel and gasoline used for transportation. It appears that the 28 miles per day that the average Willits resident commutes costs the community a bundle in terms of money not spent in the immediate area.

"Annually, we have $30 million that leaves the area; 56 percent of that is for transportation," clarifies Corzilius. "Bring that money back, and you've got money to grow new local businesses." In turn, creating new local businesses reduces the number of commuting miles.

The 1,000 MWh per day figure serves as an important baseline for conservation, since every megawatt saved, according to the energy group's report, results in an annual savings of $1 million--money that doesn't have to be spent on developing new power-generation facilities. The report also estimates that there's enough unutilized space on the rooftops of city, residential and commercial structures to easily produce 25 MWh per day with solar panels, further reducing energy imports.

The long-term conservation goal, the report contends, should be a 50 percent reduction in current usage, which could be facilitated by appointing a local "energy czar." The short-term goal is much bolder: complete energy independence by 2010. That's just five years from now.

Feud Chain

The preliminary report by WELL's food group, an inventory of the food stocked by Willits' two major supermarkets and several smaller grocery outlets, reveals the fairly startling fact that none of the stores uses local vendors in their food-supply chains. "What this essentially tells us is that we have a few days supply of food at any one time," says food group member Cindy Logan. "Safeway is dependent on daily deliveries for some items." Or, as another Willits resident puts it, "What if there's a meltdown on 101 and the truck can't get into Safeway?" Or: What if there's no diesel to fuel the trucks in the first place?

To address topics as complex as localizing food supplies, WELL invites guest speakers to talk to the group. Some, such as world-renowned bio-intensive gardening innovator John Jeavons, author of the perennial bestseller How to Grow More Vegetables, didn't have to travel far: Jeavons lives in Willits. Others, such as Stephen and Gloria Decater, had to come over the hill from Yolo County, where they operate the Live Power Community Farm near Covelo.

The Decaters practice community-supported agriculture. Their 40-acre farm provides food for 160 member families, totaling some 300 people, over a 30-week growing season. The families pay a subscription that provides operating fees for the farm and a modest income for those who work it. And when the Decaters christened their farm "Live Power," they meant it. Five full-time farmhands and an array of draft horses do all the work on the farm with the exception of hay baling, which is done by tractor because the farm has been unable to acquire a horse-driven baler. Apparently, they don't make them anymore.

During their presentation to WELL in April, the Decaters used simple math to solve Willits' potential future food shortage, at least on paper. Divide the town's 13,300 immediate residents by the 300 people Live Power Community Farm can feed, and it's easy to see that all that's required to feed the town is 44 similarly-sized farms. These plots would only take up a modest 1,733 acres in total--roughly the same area as the 2.8 square miles within Willits' city limits. Because the Decaters' numbers are based on a partial diet--an unintentional vegan slate that doesn't factor in dairy or meat--the actual acreage might have to be doubled or even tripled. Still, it's doable, and in fact, it's the way things were done not too long ago, before the automobile came along. Since then, Gloria Decater told the audience, "We have not thought of farms as permanent places. As the next generation left farming and development encroached, the farms have been cashed out. . . . With peak oil, we now have a new perspective. This may not only be sad, but it's also a matter of future survival."

Green Health

In WELL, caring for the survivors of a coming calamity falls upon the health and wellness group, which includes members drawn from both the traditional and alternative medical fields.

"I've been in this community for three decades, and I've always been interested in doing alternative therapy," says Marilyn Boosinger, whose expertise includes herbology and acupuncture. She hopes the group can develop an apothecary for locally grown natural medicines. "We would grow herbs, harvest them, make them into tinctures. We see natural medicine as something that is sustainable. The prescription medications and a lot of the supplies used in modern medicines may not be as available."

That's particularly important to Dr. Kristin Bradford--Jason Bradford's wife--a medical doctor who understands that many of today's pharmaceutical products depend upon petroleum for their manufacture. She's eager to learn as much as possible about alternative therapies.

"It's something that I'm not trained in, so I'm very excited to be collaborating with people who are, so I can have something to benefit my patients when the other isn't available," she says.

The health and wellness group got an added boost when Margie Handley, president of the Frank R. Howard Foundation (established by the son of Charles Howard, owner of the famed Willits racehorse Seabiscuit), which funds the local hospital of the same name, began attending WELL meetings. Handley has been the driving force behind converting the Frank R. Howard Memorial Hospital into California's first green hospital--a goal near completion--and she's sought community input in part through the members of WELL. The shelter group, for example, has drawn up architectural plans for a hospital greenhouse that employs straw bale construction and solar power for energy.

Willits city officials are also becoming increasingly involved with WELL. When $10,000 was recently freed up in the city budget, the funds were directed toward bringing in speakers to complement those who have spoken to the community so far at WELL meetings, such as the dark prince of peak oil, Santa Rosa author and New College professor Richard Heinberg, and Ann Hancock, coordinator of the Sonoma County Climate Control Campaign and past coordinator of the Ecological Footprint Project.

"We're trying to bring the city into a leadership role in this effort," says city planner Andy Falleri. Earlier this year, Falleri attended an E. F. Schumacher Society conference in Massachusetts, where establishing land trusts for small local farms like Live Power was discussed. He was surprised to discover that more than a quarter of the people attending the conference were aware of WELL, even though the group had only been up and running for six months. "A number of people had heard about the stuff Jason Bradford was doing with peak oil," he says. "I thought maybe Seabiscuit would be more widely known, but [he] wasn't."

Falleri admitted that there's still not a sense of urgency among city officials and the population at large about peak oil.

"We've got some real nice policies in Willits to reduce energy consumption, but people haven't really understood what they've meant," he says. "We've got to get to the next level and get some of these ideas implemented."

Going to the WELL

"I still think we should have called it SWELL," Richard Jergenson grumbles over organic Mexican food at Burrito Exquisito in downtown Willits. The S in his proposed acronym stood for "sustainable," but he was overruled by the ad-hocracy, which felt the term has gained too much of a lefty connotation. Even though many of the methods employed by the sustainability movement apply to the coming energy crisis, Bradford continually emphasizes that the seriousness of peak oil requires reaching out to as wide an audience as possible.

It's a hot, stuffy Monday night in July, but at the entrance to the Willits Community Center, where people are already streaming in for the meeting, Bradford's message appears to be getting across. Everybody's talking about peak oil in Willits these days, including members of American Legion Post 164, such as Keith Rosen.

"The post commander has instructed me to come to the meeting and see what the Legion can do to help with the issue," Rosen says, adding that his commander was following orders from the military veteran organization's national command. "The idea is to use the good name of the Legion to get different factions together." For Rosen, who describes himself as a "potter, welder and maker of things" who dropped out of mainstream society to come to Willits in 1970, there's no question that we must prepare for peak oil. Apparently, the Legion is in agreement.

"We [the Legion] came to the conclusion that if half the community is fed and the other half isn't, the half that isn't will feed off the other, and that's unacceptable," he says.

Bradford opens the meeting, held in the large hall beneath the Community Center's domed ceiling. About 40 people have turned out for the event, a far cry from the 200 or so that turn up for speakers such as Heinberg. Still, getting 40 volunteers to show up on a muggy Monday night is no mean feat for any organization. Bradford catches the group up with the latest news and sets them up for Lanny Cotler, who's pitching WELL's proposed media-relations campaign to the audience tonight.

Perhaps it's the heat, but the pitch doesn't go over well, even though Cotler volunteers to do all the work. The work--editing megabytes of digital footage, putting together press kits, is necessary--he urges, because, "we have a big responsibility for people who are coming behind us." The campaign will serve as a blueprint of sorts, and a record is required in order to secure government grants and other funding sources. Yet after Cotler finishes, several people in the audience express their displeasure, mainly because they crave action and perceive the media campaign as just more talk.

"It's going to bring more people into town," complains one man. "The energy of the group is going to be diverted to making a commercial about how cool we are." Several more people sound off before former BP facilitator Brian Weller steps in to smooth the situation over. Acknowledging the group's desire for action, he gently points out that the chance to act may never come if WELL doesn't eventually secure major funding, which in turn is dependent upon a public-relations campaign, and thank goodness we've got a Hollywood screenwriter who's willing to do all the work for us. Everyone appears satisfied, and the members break off into their assigned groups.

Just two members of the water group, Larry Desmond and Ree Slocum, are in attendance tonight. They're scheduled to give a presentation at the next WELL meeting in August, but both find it hard to get spare time to conduct the research into local water supplies.

"Most of the water resources we have require energy," says Desmond, noting the seriousness of the matter. "Being without power is one thing; being without water is another"--meaning, without water, you die.

Perhaps the chance to belong to an organization in which such crucial matters are at stake is what has made WELL such an easy sell.

"For me, it was the right thing to do," explains Slocum. "All along, I wanted to be working in a community that was sustainable. Willits is still livable and functional, but we've all gotten busy. We're small enough that we could

eventually do something." However, the question of whether that something will be enough remains. Peak oil experts such as Heinberg and James Howard Kunstler, author of The Long Emergency, the latest doom-and-gloom tome on the topic, seem convinced that the time for large-scale meaningful action has come and gone. Perhaps Willits could become what Heinberg terms a "lifeboat," carrying a few survivors to some unknown solution in the future. Or perhaps Willits will become self-sustaining, only to be overrun by starving, rampaging hordes from the cities. Shouldn't WELL establish a militia to defend against such possibilities?

"The questions of militias came up early on," says Brian Weller. "What do we do under a Mad Max scenario?" referring to the postapocalyptic science-fiction movies where rampaging hordes murder, rape and kill in a desperate battle for the last drops of gasoline. In the end, the steering committee delegates the issue to the social organization group, which in turn delegates defense issues, at least for now, to the local police and sheriff's departments.

"Most of [law enforcement's] plans deal with acute problems, like fire and disease," Bradford says doubtfully. "They haven't thought about things like long-term food security, for example."

There is, of course, another solution if the hordes come from the city.

"We'll just blow up the bridge in Hopland," Cotler says, only half-jokingly.